Hurricane Omar - Cat 2

[HurricaneJoanie]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OMAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
800 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...OMAR BECOMES CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...MOVING QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE VIRGIN AND NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST.
BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE
65.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST. CROIX
AND ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...
170 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OMAR IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OMAR IS EXPECTED TO BE A STRONG
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS. ALSO... STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY
OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD
INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND SHOULD SPREAD OVER THE LEEWARD ISLAND
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER WAS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.

OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA
PENINSULA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF OMAR. IN ADDITION...
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE WEST-
AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLANDS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE
TO COASTAL STRUCTURES.

From the National Hurricane Center

[Elk]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OMAR
ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

OMAR BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE
AS IT APPROACHES THE VIRGIN AND
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
ST.BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
ANGUILLA.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z:
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX
AND ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
ST. MARTIN.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...
32 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OMAR WILL
PASS JUST EAST OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...AND NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OMAR IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS OMAR MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
115 MILES...185 KM.
ST. CROIX RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
39 MPH...63 KM/HR...WITH A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH...
94 KM/HR.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY
THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS... VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR PUERTO RICO.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH
OF OMAR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. IN ADDITION...
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS
THAT WILL AFFECT THE WEST- AND SOUTH-FACING
COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLANDS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES.

INTERMEDIATES ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM AND
300 AM AST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.