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'DISASTROUS': Germany's Transition To Renewables Poses A "Significant Threat"

Posted: 09-08-2019 10:29 PM
by Riddick
A new report by consulting giant McKinsey finds that Germany's Energiewende, or energy transition to renewables, poses a significant threat to the nation's economy and energy supply. One of Germany's largest newspapers, Die Welt, summarized the findings of the McKinsey report in a single word: "disastrous."

"Problems are manifesting in all three dimensions of the energy industry triangle: climate protection, the security of supply and economic efficiency," writes McKinsey.

McKinsey issues its strongest warning when it comes to Germany's increasingly insecure energy supply due to its heavy reliance on intermittent solar and wind. For three days in June 2019, the electricity grid came close to black-outs.

"Only short-term imports from neighboring countries were able to stabilize the grid," the consultancy notes. As a result of Germany's energy supply shortage, the highest observed cost of short-term "balancing energy" skyrocketed from €64 in 2017 to €37,856 in 2019.

"It can be assumed that security of supply will continue to worsen in the future," says McKinsey. To stabilize the electricity grid and avoid becoming too dependent on imported natural gas, Germany is expanding coal mining to the Hambach forest, where environmental activists were arrested last September.

Renewables are causing similarly high price shocks in other parts of the world including Texas, Australia, and California. And Britain and Australia have faced similar energy supply problems in recent years as they have attempted to transition to intermittent renewables.

“Wind generation, solar and interconnectors are different to the conventional electricity generation sources,” Britain's National Grid said in a report after lightning knocked a wind farm and natural gas plant off the grid in August, causing a black-out in London.

Bloomberg News, which strongly advocates renewable energy, last week called the supply problems a "warning shot to the rest of the world."

“We have to have systems in place to make sure we still have enough generation on the grid -- or else, in the best case, we have a blackout, and in the worst case, we have some kind of grid collapse,” Severin Borenstein, a University of California energy economist told Bloomberg.

California's increasingly perilous electricity grid may put pressure on California Governor Gavin Newsom to keep the state's last nuclear plant running. German utilities too are warning of insecure supply. “By 2023 at the latest, we will be running with eyes wide open into a shortfall in secure capacity,” a managing director for the Germany energy industry association BDEW said.

"The ongoing phase-out of nuclear power by the end of 2022 and the planned coal withdrawal will successively shut down further secured capacity," explained McKinsey. "In particular, the industrial regions in western and southern Germany are affected, in which many capacities go off the grid and at the same time, one can not expect high rates of development of renewables."

McKinsey worries Germany may not be able to meet demand with imports. "In the medium term, there is a risk that there will not be enough supply capacity in the entire European network." To stabilize the electricity grid and avoid becoming too dependent on imported natural gas, Germany is expanding coal mining to the Hambach forest, where environmental activists were arrested last September.

Meanwhile, local communities and environmentalist have successfully blocked the building of transmission lines from the windy north to the industrial south. "By the first quarter of 2019, just 1,087 kilometers of the planned 3,600 kilometers of power lines were completed." At that rate, McKinsey notes, "the 2020 target will not be reached until 2037. "

German consumers have paid dearly for the energy transition. German electricity prices are 45% above the European average, McKinsey reports. Green taxes account for 54% of household electricity prices. Electricity prices will continue to rise through 2030, McKinsey predicts, despite promises in recent years by renewable energy advocates and German politicians that they would go down.

And higher prices will threaten the German industry's competitiveness. "Even a modest increase of a few euros per megawatt-hour," McKinsey says, "could jeopardize the competitiveness of energy-intensive industries in Germany." Radical change is required, McKinsey says. "Small changes in direction are no longer sufficient to lead the energy transition back on track. What is required is a fundamental turn in energy policy."

Among the radical changes required include building transmission lines eight times faster than they are currently being built, building new back-up power plants, and installing instruments to control electricity demand, all of which would drive electricity prices even higher. "But it is also clear that the consequences of a blackout would be much higher," warns McKinsey.

Alternatively, Germany could abandon its phase-out of nuclear energy, something the consultancy, like many others in the country, does not mention.


Re: 'DISASTROUS': Germany's Transition To Renewables Poses A "Significant Threat"

Posted: 09-10-2019 11:40 PM
by Doka
This frenzied rush to get rid of energy, still in use, still plentiful and mostly consumer cost effective, is rather un-nerving as well as short- sighted. I do know a better energy source is coming. I mean really! We have 18 months till, the world ends, A world full of human(?)hate bots, the good professors say, eating human flesh is just fine, killing live babies is a good thing, and now with winter coming they want to cut the heat and lights, BECAUSE.....................?? :borg: :vultures: :huhsmile:

Re: 'DISASTROUS': Germany's Transition To Renewables Poses A "Significant Threat"

Posted: 09-11-2019 03:10 PM
by Riddick
Doka wrote:
09-10-2019 11:40 PM
A world full of human(?)hate bots, the good professors say, eating human flesh is just fine, killing live babies is a good thing, and now with winter coming they want to cut the heat and lights, BECAUSE.....................??
Hey, you can trust the profs. They know what they're doing! So don't ask questions. It's all for the greater good donchaknow!

Just put your mind on hold and do what you're told and everything'll be fine, just fine.

Re: 'DISASTROUS': Germany's Transition To Renewables Poses A "Significant Threat"

Posted: 09-11-2019 03:53 PM
by Malaria_Kidd II
Got coal?

Re: 'DISASTROUS': Germany's Transition To Renewables Poses A "Significant Threat"

Posted: 09-12-2019 01:12 PM
by Doka
Wow! It worked really "Well"?" Nothing to see here?" Of course not , for the people in the DARK! :evilpengu :bigup:

Revealed: Britain was hit by TWO blackout 'scares' in the last three months as experts blame the UK's over-reliance on wind energy for the worst power cut in years - but boss of National Grid claims 'the system worked really well'

● Power outage on Friday afternoon hit almost a million people across the country
● It has now emerged there were two other sharp drops in energy supply recently
● A leading expert is warning that blackouts will become ‘increasingly frequent’

Updated: 18:28 EDT, 10 August 2019

The power cut which brought chaos to large parts of Britain was caused in part by an over-reliance on wind energy, experts have warned.

The Mail on Sunday can also reveal there have been two other sharp drops in energy supply in the past three months alone – as a leading expert warned that blackouts will become ‘increasingly frequent’.

With the country still reeling from the power outage, which hit almost a million people on Friday afternoon resulting in widespread disruption to trains and roads, the National Grid pointed the finger of blame at the two foreign companies which own the affected power stations.

However, one of the firms in turn called for a probe by the National Grid and regulator Ofgem to find out where responsibility lies.
Snippet from article:

"The blackout lasted for an hour, leading to cancellations and delays on at least 14 rail networks and stopping road traffic lights from working. Astonishingly, the National Grid has insisted its own systems had ‘worked well’.

Full Article/Pictures ... years.html

Meanwhile, Back In America...

Posted: 09-12-2019 03:19 PM
by Riddick
AOC: Green New Deal Breaking Up
The Washington Examiner quotes the freshman Congresswoman:
“One of the things I think is really exciting,” said the first-term New York Democrat, is that “the legislation that we are planning on introducing is not one broad sweeping piece of legislation.”

Ocasio-Cortez said, “We are breaking it up into parts.”

The liberal Democrat said lawmakers are at work on different pieces of legislation derived from the Green New Deal, which calls for eliminating carbon emissions in the United States in 10 years.
Notice the way AOC faked excitement, as if this was the plan all along. Of course, in her defense, AOC might not realize exactly what her proposal originally looked like. Rumors state the deal was drafted without her input or presence. The point here is just how hard Democrats work to spin things.

Phase 1: Electric Cars

AOC promises to focus phase one on the shift to electric cars. And we’re supposed to believe this is much better for the environment than gasoline engines. However, there are some important points to consider when pushing towards all electric cars.
  • Electric cars take hours, even overnight to charge. They are NOT designed for long road trips.
  • Electric cars don’t rake in the gasoline tax that helps build and maintain roads.
  • The electric grid isn’t capable of adding enough electric cars to serve the entire nation.
  • Electric cars are at least $20,000 more than gasoline powered vehicles. Thus, they are priced out of range for even much of the middle class.
And there’s a few other pesky little factoids. For example, coal produces 39 percent of the country’s electricity, according to the Department of Energy. Thus, we’re using fossil fuels in order to use electricity when we could just use the fossil fuels and spare the electricity. But leave it to a liberal to create such a conundrum. In fact, Tesla’s and other electric cars lose up to 40% of their battery power in extreme cold. Which means we actually need the global warming to keep the cars moving along. Isn’t that ironic?

Rather than AOC acknowledge any of that, she clings to the idea of electric cars for everyone.

Next Up: Housing

AOC also made a point to say housing is a big part of her newly focused plans. The Examiner continues:
Ocasio-Cortez said she plans to introduce a bill this month aimed at transitioning the U.S. to carbon-neutral buildings, which she called a “Green New Deal housing plan.”

The Green New Deal calls for providing “safe, adequate housing” for everyone and the complete transition away from gasoline-powered cars.

“We are really excited about it,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “That’s going to be dropping this month, and it’s going to be really a focus on buildings, which is one of the three major industries we have to focus on when it comes to reducing carbon emissions.”
Once again, the spin is outrageous! Exactly who is paying for all these great new buildings? And how will we get rid of the old ones? Will that require demolition? Because demolition is carried out with giant machinery. And that machinery tends to run on gasoline so won’t we be doing quite a bit polluting to upgrade all these buildings? Was any of this even factored into the plan?

The Bluff

At the end of the day, these are just moot points. Democrats knew from the get-go that the Green New Deal was destined to go down in flames yet pretend to support this ridiculous idea because it has all the warm-fuzzy nonsense liberals love. But they don’t actually think it’s tangible.

In fact, when Mitch McConnell gave the legislation the urgency liberals demanded, and put the Green New Deal to a vote months ago, guess what most Democrats voted? Present. They didn’t support the idea, and they were too chicken to denounce it.